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Uploaded: Dec 5, 2025

Campbell Harvey, Kose John, Fahad Saleh | Working Paper No. 00199-00

Productivity Enables Security: The Economics of Blockchain Settlement

Blockchain technology holds the promise of transforming our financial system but a key question lingers regarding whether this technology can ensure secure settlement. We develop an equilibrium model to study that question with regard to the most prominent blockchain type,...

Published: Review of Financial Studies, 2025

Daniel Neuhann, Michael Sockin | Working Paper No. 00194-00

Portfolio Regulation of Financial Institutions with Market Power

We examine how portfolio regulations affect risk sharing between financial institutions with market power. Unconstrained access to complete markets permits flexible exploitation of market power and induces inefficient risk sharing. Appropriate portfolio restrictions counteract this, improving liquidity and risk sharing...

Published: Journal of Economic Theory, 2025

Michael Sockin | Working Paper No. 00193-00

Informational Frictions in Funding and Credit Markets

A key function of financial intermediaries is to borrow in financial markets and lend to firms. I show that this creates informational linkages between repo and corporate bond markets. My key result is improving transparency in either market may lower...

Uploaded: Nov 11, 2025

Philipp Illeditsch | Working Paper No. 00192-00

The Market View: Reconciling Survey and Statistical Equity Premia

Survey-based excess stock return forecasts are procyclical, less volatile, and more persistent than countercyclical statistical forecasts. These patterns challenge rational representative-agent models. We show that they arise naturally in fully rational heterogeneous-belief models with speculative trade. Prices reflect the market...

Uploaded: Nov 1, 2025

Zhiguo He, Peter Kondor | Working Paper No. 00191-00

Demand Elasticity in Dynamic Asset Pricing

Standard demand elasticity estimation treats investors’ demand slopes as stable objects that can be traced out by exogenous residual supply shifts. We show this identification strategy fails in dynamic settings: supply shocks cause demand curves to tilt and shift through...

Uploaded: Oct 29, 2025

Gregory Weitzner | Working Paper No. 00190-00

Information Externalities in Opaque Credit Markets

In opaque markets plagued by asymmetric information, firms borrow from many lenders at once and individual contracts are not observable to other lenders. We identify a novel information externality in a model based on such a setting. To avoid adverse...