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Uploaded: Oct 8, 2017

Florian Hoffmann, Florian Hoffmann, Roman Inderst, Roman Inderst, Marcus Opp | Working Paper No. 00015-00

Only time will tell: A Theory of Deferred Compensation

We characterize optimal contracts in settings where the principal observes informative signals over time about the agent's one-time action. If both are risk-neutral contract relevant features of any signal process can be represented by a deterministic informativeness process that is...

Published: American Economic Review, 2020

Brendan Daley, Brett Green | Working Paper No. 00022-00

Bargaining and News

We study a bargaining model in which a buyer makes frequent offers to a privately informed seller, while gradually learning about the seller’s type from ā€œnews.ā€ We show that the buyer’s ability to leverage this information to extract more surplus...

Uploaded: Mar 15, 2017

Efstathios Avdis | Working Paper No. 00013-00

Information Tradeoffs in Dynamic Financial Markets

In dynamic financial markets the stochastic supply of risky assets has a significant informational role. Contrary to static models, where it acts as "noise," in dynamic markets stochastic supply contains information about risk premiums. Acquiring private dividend information helps investors...

Uploaded: Mar 15, 2017

Efstathios Avdis, Efstathios Avdis, Efstathios Avdis, Masahiro Watanabe, Masahiro Watanabe | Working Paper No. 00019-00

Rational-expectations whiplash

We present a financial market with investors who have nested private information. Small perturbations of price informativeness, originating from fat-finger errors or algorithmic glitches of well-informed investors, can trigger an oscillating shock throughout the economy that destabilizes the feedback loop...

Uploaded: Feb 1, 2017

Marcus Opp | Working Paper No. 00021-00

Bank capital and the composition of credit

We propose a general equilibrium framework to analyze the cross-sectional distribution of credit and its exposure to shocks to the financial system, such as changes to bank capital, capital requirements, and interest rates. We characterize how over- and underinvestment in...

Uploaded: Jan 6, 2017

Hengjie Ai, Ravi Bansal, Ravi Bansal | Working Paper No. 00009-00

Risk Preferences and the Macro Announcement Premium

The paper develops a theory for equity premium around macroeconomic announcements. Stock returns realized around pre-scheduled macroeconomic announcements, such as the employment report and the FOMC statements, account for 55% of the market equity premium during the 1961-2014 period, and...